Test for no adverse shift with outlier scores. Like goodness-of-fit testing,
this two-sample comparison takes the training set, x_train
as the
as the reference. The method checks whether the test set, x_test
, is
worse off relative to this reference set. The function scorer
assigns
an outlier score to each instance/observation in both training and test set.
pt_refit(x_train, x_test, scorer, n_pt = 2000)
Training (reference/validation) sample.
Test sample.
Function which returns a named list with outlier scores from
the training and test sample. The first argument to scorer
must be
x_train
; the second, x_test
. The returned named list contains
two elements: train and test, each of which is a vector of
corresponding (outlier) scores. See notes below for more information.
The number of permutations.
A named list of class outlier.test
containing:
statistic
: observed WAUC statistic
seq_mct
: sequential Monte Carlo test, when applicable
p_value
: p-value
outlier_scores
: outlier scores from training and test set
The null distribution of the test statistic is based on n_pt
permutations. For speed, this is implemented as a sequential Monte Carlo test
with the simctest package. See Gandy (2009) for details. The prefix
pt refers to permutation test. This approach does not use the
asymptotic null distribution for the test statistic. This is the recommended
approach for small samples. The test statistic is the weighted AUC (WAUC).
The scoring function, scorer
, predicts out-of-sample scores by
refitting the underlying algorithm from scorer
at every permutation
The suffix refit emphasizes this point. This is in contrast to the
out-of-bag variant, pt_oob
, which only fits once. This method can be
be computationally expensive.
Kamulete, V. M. (2022). Test for non-negligible adverse shifts. In The 38th Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence. PMLR.
Gandy, A. (2009). Sequential implementation of Monte Carlo tests with uniformly bounded resampling risk. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 104(488), 1504-1511.
[pt_oob()] for (faster) p-value approximation via out-of-bag predictions. [at_oob()] for p-value approximation from asymptotic null distribution.
Other permutation-test:
pt_from_os()
,
pt_oob()
# \donttest{
library(dsos)
set.seed(12345)
data(iris)
setosa <- iris[1:50, 1:4] # Training sample: Species == 'setosa'
versicolor <- iris[51:100, 1:4] # Test sample: Species == 'versicolor'
scorer <- function(tr, te) list(train=runif(nrow(tr)), test=runif(nrow(te)))
pt_test <- pt_refit(setosa, versicolor, scorer = scorer)
pt_test
#> Frequentist test for no adverse shift
#>
#> p-value = 0.44444, test statistic (weighted AUC/WAUC) = 0.101
#>
#> Alternative hypothesis: Pr(WAUC >= 0.101)
#> => the test set is worse off than training.
#> Sample sizes: 50 in training and 50 in test set.
# }