Test for no adverse shift with outlier scores. Like goodness-of-fit testing,
this two-sample comparison takes the training set, x_train
as the
as the reference. The method checks whether the test set, x_test
, is
worse off relative to this reference set. The function scorer
assigns
an outlier score to each instance/observation in both training and test set.
at_oob(x_train, x_test, scorer)
Training (reference/validation) sample.
Test sample.
Function which returns a named list with outlier scores from
the training and test sample. The first argument to scorer
must be
x_train
; the second, x_test
. The returned named list contains
two elements: train and test, each of which is a vector of
(outlier) scores. See notes for more information.
A named list of class outlier.test
containing:
statistic
: observed WAUC statistic
seq_mct
: sequential Monte Carlo test, when applicable
p_value
: p-value
outlier_scores
: outlier scores from training and test set
Li and Fine (2010) derives the asymptotic null distribution for the weighted
AUC (WAUC), the test statistic. This approach does not use permutations
and can, as a result, be much faster because it sidesteps the need to refit
the scoring function scorer
. This works well for large samples. The
prefix at stands for asymptotic test to tell it apart from the
prefix pt, the permutation test.
The scoring function, scorer
, predicts out-of-bag scores to mimic
out-of-sample behaviour. The suffix oob stands for out-of-bag to
highlight this point. This out-of-bag variant avoids refitting the
underlying algorithm from scorer
at every permutation. It can, as a
result, be computationally appealing.
Kamulete, V. M. (2022). Test for non-negligible adverse shifts. In The 38th Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence. PMLR.
Gandy, A. (2009). Sequential implementation of Monte Carlo tests with uniformly bounded resampling risk. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 104(488), 1504-1511.
[pt_oob()] for (faster) p-value approximation via out-of-bag predictions. [pt_refit()] for (slower) p-value approximation via refitting.
Other asymptotic-test:
at_from_os()
# \donttest{
library(dsos)
set.seed(12345)
data(iris)
setosa <- iris[1:50, 1:4] # Training sample: Species == 'setosa'
versicolor <- iris[51:100, 1:4] # Test sample: Species == 'versicolor'
# Using fake scoring function
scorer <- function(tr, te) list(train=runif(nrow(tr)), test=runif(nrow(te)))
oob_test <- at_oob(setosa, versicolor, scorer = scorer)
oob_test
#> Frequentist test for no adverse shift
#>
#> p-value = 0.17518, test statistic (weighted AUC/WAUC) = 0.101
#>
#> Alternative hypothesis: Pr(WAUC >= 0.101)
#> => the test set is worse off than training.
#> Sample sizes: 50 in training and 50 in test set.
# }